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Morgan Stanley Predicts India’s GDP Growth to Slow to 6.5% in FY2025

GDP

Morgan Stanley Predicts India’s GDP Growth to Slow to 6.5% in FY2025

According to international banking giant Morgan Stanley, India’s economic growth would decline from 6.9% expected for FY2024 to 6.5% in FY 2025. “Concerning development, we guess that it will keep on being vigorous. As of December 2023, GDP is projected to ascend at 6.5%, albeit diminishing from 7.7% in the first half of FY2024. In its latest exploration report on the Indian economy, Morgan Stanley expressed, “We anticipate that GDP should average 6.9% in FY2024 and 6.5% in FY2025.”

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India has modified its GDP projections for FY 2025, bringing them down from 7.3% for FY24 that the National Statistical Office had anticipated. Remarkably, the public authority expanded its conjecture for ostensible Gross domestic product development meanwhile financial plan set on February 1 free from 8.9 percent in 2023-24 to 10.5%, without representing the pace of expansion.

In terms of macro-stability, Morgan Stanley anticipated that title expansion would average 4.5 percent in FY2025 and 5.4% in FY2024, with a reach bound gauge of 5.0-5.2 percent in the primary quarter of FY24, supported by a good base impact.

Positive Economic Indicators Signal Growth Amidst Global and Domestic Challenges

With the strength of services exports and the declining price of commodities globally, particularly oil, the current account deficit is expected to stay benign and track at 1.2% of GDP in FY24 and 1.3% of GDP in FY25. In terms of monetary policy, Morgan Stanley stated, “In our base case, we build in a shallow rate cut cycle of 50 basis points from June 2024, even as we continue to remain vigilant of risks from stronger-than-expected growth (strong credit growth), which could postpone the rate easing cycle.”

Also Read: India Expects 9.5% Salary Increase in 2024; Infrastructure and Manufacturing Sectors Lead Growth

Morgan Stanley reported that although economic stability is still comfortable and reflects strength in the fundamentals, domestic demand strengthened in January. “We continue to view the economy favorably. Worldwide events and the May 2024 elections pose risks, the statement read.

In January, domestic demand increased both sequentially and YoY as it slowly increased to a three-month high. GST collections increased to Rs 1.7 lakh crore, the second-highest amount ever, gaining 10.4% annually, while the Manufacturing PMI improved to 56.9, continuing to be expansionary since July 21. Regarding external demand, exports increased 3.1% in January compared to 1% in the previous month.

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Ola Cabs CEO Hemant Bakshi Resigns, Company Set to Lay Off 10% Staff: Report

Hemant Bakshi

Ola Cabs CEO Hemant Bakshi Resigns, Company Set to Lay Off 10% Staff: Report

Hemant Bakshi, the CEO of Ola Cabs, resigned from his role barely four months after joining the company, citing sources with knowledge of the reorganization process that may result in at least 10% of jobs being lost, according to the report. The ride-hailing company hired Hemant Bakshi in January, and according to a report, an unidentified insider stated, “With this restructuring, certain roles within the organization will be rendered redundant and could impact as much as 10% of the workforce.”

Another stated that Hemant Bakshi, the CEO of Ola Cabs, will be leaving the firm to seek opportunities and interests outside of Ola, according to the report. Aggarwal will be attended to, and a fresh appointment is scheduled for shortly.

What changes are happening at Ola Cabs?

This occurred just a few weeks after it was revealed that Ola Cabs had started the first conversations about an IPO with investment banks. Ola Cabs has appointed several new personnel in the last month, including Sidharth Shakdher as the CBO and Kartik Gupta as the CFO (formerly of P&G) (ex-Hotstar).

Ola Cabs shuts down international operations.

The business has discontinued operations abroad in a few nations. The statement from earlier stated, “We’ve reevaluated our objectives and have chosen to close down our international ride-hailing company in the UK, Australia, and New Zealand. We are still incredibly enthusiastic and committed to helping one billion Indians.

Also Read: Deepinder Goyal’s ₹79 Crore Purchase Tops Delhi’s FY2024 Land Deals; 29 Deals Closed in NCR

How are Ola Cab’s finances?

Ola’s Mobility division brought around ₹2,135 crore in revenue in FY23, a roughly 58% increase. After revealing an EBITDA loss of ₹66 crore in FY22, the company recorded positive EBITDA for the first time, totaling ₹250 crore.

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Deepinder Goyal’s ₹79 Crore Purchase Tops Delhi’s FY2024 Land Deals; 29 Deals Closed in NCR

Deepinder

Deepinder Goyal’s ₹79 Crore Purchase Tops Delhi’s FY2024 Land Deals; 29 Deals Closed in NCR

In FY2024, 29 land deals totaling 314 acres were closed. Deepinder Goyal, co-founder and CEO of Zomato, purchased a 5 acre parcel in Dera Mandi for ₹79 crore, according to Anarock data. According to Anarock data, other purchasers in Delhi-NCR included real estate developers such as Mumbai-based Godrej Properties, Experion Developers, DLF Homes Developers, and the Prestige Group. According to Anarock statistics, 29 land sales spanning 314 acres were finalized in Delhi-NCR in FY 2024, compared to 23 land deals covering around 273.9 acres in FY 2023.

In Gurugram, 22 transactions totaling 208.22 acres were concluded. These comprised one agreement for educational, residential, and retail purposes, with the remaining 20 acquisitions solely for residential construction in the fiscal year ending March 2024. In Faridabad, a 15-acre residential land purchase was consummated.

Ganga Realty purchased an 8.35-acre property tract in Gurugram’s Sector 84 for ₹132 crore. Experion Developers purchased a 4-acre land parcel on Golf Course Road for ₹400 crore, a 5-acre land parcel in Sector 145 in Noida for ₹250 crore, a 5.5-acre land parcel in Sector 48, Gurugram for ₹550 crore, a 4.5-acre land parcel on Golf Course Road for ₹450 crore, and another land parcel in Sector 53, Gurugram for ₹400 crore, according to data shared by Anarock.

Godrej Properties, a Mumbai-based listed real estate business, purchased a 7.91 acre land parcel on Golf Course Extension Road for ₹900 crore, a 14.8 acre land parcel in Sector 103 Gurugram for ₹403 crore, and a 6.46 acre land parcel in Noida Sector 44 for around ₹500 crore, according to statistics. DLF Homes Developers purchased 29 acres on Golf Course Extension Road in Gurugram for ₹825 crore, while Prestige Group purchased 62.5 acres in Ghaziabad for over ₹400 crore, according to statistics.

Land deals aimed at meeting Delhi-NCR’s demand for housing

“About 26 separate land deals, totaling approximately 298 acres, were proposed for residential and township projects to meet the region’s growing demand for housing and urban development,” said Santhosh Kumar, Vice Chairman of the Anarock Group. “At least two property purchases totaling more than 7 acres each were planned exclusively for commercial real estate projects. A second transaction comprising roughly 8.61 acres was allocated to an education-related project,” he explained.

Also Read: Goldman Sachs Says Blinkit Is More Valuable Than Zomato’s Food Delivery Business

101 separate land deals sealed in 2023-24 across the country

According to Anarock statistics, real estate developers and companies closed on around 101 unique land deals in fiscal year 2023-24, totaling nearly 2,989 acres across the country.In FY-24, over 83 land sales for over 1,135 acres were finalized in the top seven cities alone, with the remaining 18 deals totaling 1,853 acres closing in tier 2 and 3 cities like as Ahmedabad, Ayodhya, Jaipur, Nagpur, Mysuru, Ludhiana, and Surat.

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Goldman Sachs Says Blinkit Is More Valuable Than Zomato’s Food Delivery Business

Blinkit

Goldman Sachs Says Blinkit Is More Valuable Than Zomato’s Food Delivery Business

The meal delivery business of Zomato is no longer worth as much as the implied value of Blinkit, the problematic rapid commerce startup that Zomato purchased in a fire sale in 2022, according to a note released on April 25 by Goldman Sachs analysts.

Everything is looking bright for Blinkit; it went from being an albatross around Zomato’s neck to becoming its largest division. Zomato’s shares fell 20 percent in 2022 after the company revealed its intention to buy Blinkit (formerly Grofers), as investors perceived the move as a rescue. All the same, the corporation remained upbeat and seems to have fulfilled its commitments.

Goldman Sachs analysts state that although Blinkit was purchased by Zomato for $568 million in 2022, its estimated valuation has subsequently increased to an astounding $13 billion due to greater performance. Furthermore, the valuation has increased by more than 6X year over year (YoY).

“We have observed that Blinkit’s implied valuation in our Zomato sum of the parts (SOTP) is approximately $13 billion at present, as opposed to $2 billion in March 2023. Additionally, the note notes that the implied value per share is Rs 119 higher than food delivery, at Rs 98, for the first time.”

Also Read: JioCinema Set to Unveil New Subscription Plan on April 25, Potential Introduction of Charges for IPL

According to a story on April 4, Goldman Sachs’ initial estimate of $8 billion was downgraded to $13 billion for the fast e-commerce delivery player. Goldman Sachs stated that the upgrades were a result of increased gross order value (GOV) forecasts for Blinkit, which are projected to be roughly 50% higher than those from a year ago.

Goldman Sachs predicts that between the fiscal years 2024 and 2027, the fast delivery company’s GOV will likely rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53%. According to the statement, this will also propel Zomato’s adjusted revenue CAGR to 32% on a consolidated basis.

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